NWS Flood Watch (Wythe County)

Current Conditions
Morganton

Temp: 51.5°F

Forecast Last Updated at Saturday, February 27, 2021 at 5:25PM

Gray; Warmer Coming

Clouds kept a lid on temperatures Saturday, but Sunday afternoon will be 20 degrees warmer Expect areas of fog tonight into Sunday morning. Stray light showers are possible through Sunday, most likely late Saturday night and early Sunday. The next front from the west arrives Monday. Expect more rain from midnight Sunday night until early Monday afternoon. Cooler weather follows.

Saturday Hi: 51 Lo: 45 Generally cloudy with areas of fog; Stray light showers possible, especially late Saturday night; Light SW wind

Sunday Hi: 71 Lo: 52 Lots of clouds with early fog with a shower; Breaks in the clouds Sunday and much warmer with a stray light shower possible; Then rain returns Sunday night; SW wind 5-10 mph

Monday Hi: 61 Lo: 32 Cloudy with rain into early afternoon; Decreasing cloudiness; NW wind 5-10 mph

Tuesday Hi: 50 Lo: 32 Partly cloudy & cooler; More rain likely Tuesday night

Wednesday Hi: 55 Lo: 35 Morning rain; Decreasing cloudiness

Further Out

Thursday - More sunshine; Seasonal; High in the lower 60s; Low in the upper 30s
Friday - More clouds; Somewhat cooler; High in the mid 50s; Low in the upper 30s

Forecast Discussion

We remain in a tug of war between colder air to the north and a Bermuda High to our southeast. Being in the middle of competing pulls and pushes, expect clouds and areas of fog with stray light showers possible, especially late Saturday night and early Sunday. Sunday, the warmer Bermuda High takes a decisive edge on temperatures.

However, a front from the northwest moves through Monday with the next more pronounced period of rain--late Sunday night and Monday morning. After that, cooler air takes the tug of war win, for three days (Monday through Wednesday). Partial clearing commences Monday afternoon leading to a mostly clear and cooler Tuesday.

But no weather lasts long in this fast moving pattern. The next low from the Western Gulf moves across the Southeast Wednesday. Clouds return Tuesday night and rain is expected late Tuesday night until early afternoon Wednesday. Temperatures remain cool through Wednesday.

Timing and track becoming more difficult with the low that follows. I took the more optimistic route Thursday and Friday--a dry and milder Thursday, then more clouds Friday with a low suppressed to our south Friday; however, other opinions for a wetter Friday hold merit. We'll have more confidence on Friday one way or another in a couple days. Regardless, colder weather is expected next weekend.

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